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The first cryptocurrency analyst to apply the stock-to-flow model to Bitcoin is predicting that the leading crypto asset could meteorically rise in the following months as BTC continues to hold its ground in the midst of bearish news.
“Net result (after Turkey ban, US tax FUD, Faketoshi lawsuits, Elon/Tesla energy FUD) is that Bitcoin is 5x higher than ~6 months ago. And both stock-to-flow model + on-chain data indicate that we are only halfway through this bull market. I would not be surprised to see another 5x next ~6 months.”
In other trending BTC News today: Bitcoin still on track to $100K despite growing risks, says strategic investor Lyn Alden! Lyn is convinced Bitcoin has still the potential to reach 6-figures in the current bull cycle – despite growing uncertainty and increasing volatility.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
Coinbase Reports Strong First Quarter Earnings, Set to Add Dogecoin Soon
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SERIOUS WARNING ISSUED OVER 0K BITCOIN PRICE MODEL!! BTC SHATTERS 1 MILLION ACTIVE ADDRESSES!!
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Bitcoin is on track to be one of the year’s best performing assets, despite a recent retraction – but that’s not stopped BTC bulls from fighting on Twitter.
The Bitcoin price has climbed through much of 2020, adding some 40%, with the bullish stock-to-flow model – that predicts a massive $288,000 BTC price before 2024 – working “like clockwork,” according to its anonymous creator.
However, a number of high-profile bitcoin analysts and entrepreneurs have clashed over the stock-to-flow model this last week, with the anonymous PlanB accusing his critics of trying to unmask him and his model derided as “absolutely useless.”
“The [stock-to-flow] model is based on the most fundamental errors which render it absolutely useless,” warned Alex Kruger, an economist and cryptocurrency analyst, speaking over the phone.
The stock-to-flow pricing model, created by anonymous Twitter user PlanB, who claims to be a Dutch institutional investor with a legal and quantitative finance background that manages around $100 billion in assets and tweets from the handle @100trillionUSD, calculates a ratio based on the existing supply of an asset against how much is entering circulation.
Kruger, along with many other analysts in recent months, has warned the model is based on faulty comparisons and a “spurious relationship” between price and scarcity.
“The whole model rests on the wrong assumption that there is cointegration between price and scarcity,” Kruger said, who explained that without cointegration it’s “nonsensical to think that bitcoin stock-to-flow, a number that goes up programmatically, and everybody knows what it will be at any point in time, can be used to predict price.”
Criticism of the stock-to-flow model and its creator have bubbled up recently, with the chief executive of bitcoin buying app Swan Bitcoin, Cory Klippsten, posting what PlanB considered to be identifying information on Twitter before deleting it and saying he was “wrong to post any personal information” about PlanB and adding anonymous bitcoin users “should have the right” to stay anonymous.
“It’s extremely important to be bullish for the right reasons,” Klippsten said via Twitter, explaining his opposition to the popularization of the stock-to-flow model.
“Otherwise you’ll have weak hands when your belief is proven false.” Klippsten, speaking via Telegram, said he supported the stock-to-flow pricing model until just a few months ago when he “looked into the models and realized they’re invalid” and “have zero predictive power.”
According to PlanB, who has disputed the information posted by Klippsten, the stock-to-flow pricing model shows bitcoin will reach $288,000 before the next bitcoin halving in 2024.
PlanB has also argued that assets that have a high stock-to-flow have a high value, pointing to gold, silver, diamonds and real estate in a chart posted to Twitter.
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
Bitcoin Active Addresses Shatters 1,000,000! Bitcoin’s fundamentals continue to show signs of strength.
According to the on-chain data provider Coin Metrics, the number of BTC active addresses has soared to a level not seen in over two years.
“Bitcoin doesn’t have to be complicated. The supply is capped and the number of users has been growing exponentially this whole time.”
Analysts use the active addresses metric to measure the rate of a crypto asset’s adoption.
The metric refers to the number of unique addresses that are active on the network as a sender or receiver of the crypto token.
On September 25th, the number of BTC active addresses skyrocketed to 1.14 million – the highest level since the 2017 bull market.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
blocked: noise control
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) September 28, 2020
OK, by Dec 2021 we will know then: S2F>$100k, Dave
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“BUY BITCOIN,” ANOTHER BILLIONAIRE VC TELLS INVESTORS LOOKING TO ESCAPE MASSIVE DEFLATION | BTC News
➡️ REPLAY – TEEKA TIWARI – 5 Coins To $5 Million: http://final5.cryptonewsalerts.net
‘Buy Bitcoin‘ is emerging as the mantra against the ongoing global financial crisis.
The latest to join the cryptocurrency bandwagon is Chamath Palihapitiya, a billionaire venture capitalist with a history of investments in startups that Google and Microsoft would later acquire.
The Social Capital CEO was appearing on a CNBC daily to speak about the vast disconnect between a suffering economy and a cheering stock and bond market.
“We have completely divorced the economy from the stock and the bond markets,” Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya says. “The Fed has been the principal agent of that obfuscation.”
Before mentioning BTC, Palihapitiya criticized the U.S. Federal Reserve for launching a stimulus package that helped to inflate assets instead of helping taxpayers and consumers. He added that the central bank’s move neither solved income disparity nor unemployment.
What it did was allowing a few entities to play the financial markets to make more money.
The conversation shifted to the deflationary aspects of the Fed’s stimulus.
While Palihapitiya praised the Fed’s efforts to protect the U.S. economy amidst the coronavirus pandemic, he warned that the central bank’s decision to purchase corporate debt ETFs and balloon its balance sheets further could quicken “a really bad deflationary supercycle.”
When the question about where investors should put their capital as the economy shrinks popped, Palihapitiya recommended Bitcoin.
The veteran praised the cryptocurrency for its lack of correlation with other traditional assets.
He suggested that the feature alone could help investors obtain insurance against a deflating economy, citing Paul Tudor Jones, the founder & CEO of a $22 billion hedge fund, for taking a similar approach.
“Now all of a sudden even he is looking at bitcoin and the reason is [that] we are in this massive deflationary cycle,” said Palihapitiya. “I still struggle to find anything that is as uncorrelated to anything and to everything else than bitcoin.”
BITCOIN ADOPTION ON WALL STREET
Tudor Jones, on Monday, had told CNBC that he is holding about 1-2 percent of his net portfolio in the Bitcoin futures.
The billionaire investor, like Palihapitiya, commended the cryptocurrency for behaving as an insurance against the Fed’s massive money printing.
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
Crypto Milestone: Banking Giant JPMorgan Chase Provides Bitcoin (BTC) Bridge for Coinbase Customers The largest bank in the United States is singing a new tune about Bitcoin.
JPMorgan Chase is now offering banking services to cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Gemini in a pivotal and critical turn for Bitcoin and digital assets as an emerging mainstream form of money.
The Wall Street Journal reports that JPMorgan Chase will allow Coinbase and Gemini customers based in the US to make ACH (automated clearing house) withdrawals and transfers, marking the end of the bank’s anti-crypto era led by CEO Jamie Dimon, the industry’s most outspoken crypto critic.
Dimon called Bitcoin “a fraud” in September of 2017. The chief executive went a step further when he threatened to fire any “stupid” employees caught trading the cryptocurrency.
That position has melted in the wake of the macro economic landscape that is awash in money printing, instability, mounting debt, shrinking GDP and a tumultuous stock market that has left investors looking for a hedge.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
2014: “Bitcoin is a terrible store of value,” said Jamie Dimon2015: “Bitcoin will not survive”2016: “Bitcoin is going nowhere”2017: “Bitcoin is a fraud”2018: “I don’t really give a shit about bitcoin”
2020: –>https://t.co/rAWTvg2zL3
— Barry Silbert (@barrysilbert) May 12, 2020
“Buy Bitcoin,” Another Billionaire VC Tells Investors Looking to Escape Massive Deflation
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Bitcoin Price About to Tap Explosive Rally Trendline | BTC is Money Printing Protection
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Bitcoin Price Could Spark a Massive Market-Wide Rally If It Bounces at This Key Level
Crypto Bullet – another popular cryptocurrency analyst on Twitter – explained in a tweet that the BTC price is currently approaching a key macro trendline that has historically sparked explosive upwards movements.
“BTC 1M log scale update. Let’s once again take a look at our beloved log scale chart. As long we are closing the monthly above the trend line this is just another great buying opportunity. Zoom out and look at the big picture,” he explained.
If Bitcoin posts a highly bullish response to this level as it has done in the past, it is highly probable that the aggregated crypto market will also incur some intense upwards momentum in the weeks ahead.
Bitcoin Is Money Printing Protection as US Bond Yields Hit Lowest Ever
Bitcoin (BTC) is not a hedge against “every” global meltdown but will ultimately protect its users from central banks, governments and fiat money printing.
That was the consensus building among cryptocurrency supporters on March 10, as traders awaited the next stage of worldwide panic — this had given much of the economy its worst day since the 2008 financial crisis.
On Monday, currency markets and stocks led the losses, which were later joined by markets such as United States government bond yields. In a move unprecedented in history, the entire U.S. bond yield curve dropped below 1% — signaling intense concern from traders over a global recession, an oil price war and, of course, coronavirus.
At the same time, Bitcoin shed around 15% overnight, volatility which at press time had nonetheless subsided. Noting historical behavior, Hunter Horsely, CEO of BitWise, said that BTC was performing much better than before versus the S&P 500 in particular.
“S&P is -7.6% today. Based on historical volatility, a -7.6% move in S&P is == to -41% in BTC,” he wrote on Twitter. “Yet in the last 24 hrs BTC is only -5%. And only -0.5% since midnight today. That’s uncorrelated.”
AngelList CEO Naval Ravikant meanwhile suggested that investors zoom out from recent price adjustments. “
At the moment, Bitcoin is not a general hedge against every black swan and still behaves like a ‘risk on” trade,’ he responded to criticism of the cryptocurrency’s performance.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
$BTCNice to see short term relief the past few hoursPrice couldn’t break above the daily open, and want to see it break this area before I feel good about any potential short term rally
I’ll take some profits at the resistance block above between $8030 and $8100 pic.twitter.com/UR6EXnR5Lt
— Josh Rager 📈 (@Josh_Rager) March 10, 2020
COVID-19 could lead to more people adopting crypto assets/#Bitcoin to reduce possible exposure to the virus
Crypto investors already knew fiat money was dirtyhttps://t.co/niME67UgJm
— Josh Rager 📈 (@Josh_Rager) March 9, 2020
At the moment, Bitcoin is not a general hedge against every black swan and still behaves like a “risk on” trade.
But long term, Bitcoin is a hedge against central banks printing money, which is inevitable as a reaction to the virus.
— Naval (@naval) March 10, 2020
S&P is -7.6% today.Based on historical volatility, a -7.6% move in S&P is == to -41% in BTC.Yet in the last 24 hrs BTC is only -5%.And only -0.5% since midnight today.That’s uncorrelated.
Treasuries are up (GOVT +1%)! That’s a negative correl, which is a different thing. pic.twitter.com/F0oVlGp8m0
— Hunter Horsley (@HHorsley) March 9, 2020
$BTC 1M log scale update 📉Let’s once again take a look at our beloved log scale chart.As long we are closing the monthly above the trend line this is just another great buying opportunity.
Zoom out and look at the big picture!#bitcoin #trading pic.twitter.com/Rx7v6X7ZzV
— crypto bullet (@SilverBulletBTC) March 9, 2020
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