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The trillion-dollar asset manager Fidelity is scrutinizing a popular and controversial Bitcoin price model.

A recent report from Fidelity Digital Assets analyzes the BTC stock-to-flow ratio, which divides the amount of a commodity in circulation by the amount mined per year.

Using the correlation between an asset’s price and its S2F ratio, the pseudonymous crypto analyst PlanB has predicted that the BTC price will soar to $1 million by 2029.

Although there is a fierce debate on whether the stock-to-flow ratio is an accurate way to forecast Bitcoin’s trajectory, Fidelity says the model is a credible tool for analyzing scarce assets.

The firm says historically, the metric is a sound way to judge whether a given commodity will become a successful store of value.

“Commodities with a stock that is difficult to double due to a low rate of production relative to existing supply have historically served as superior stores of value.

Such commodities are largely used for investment purposes, and occasionally industrial uses.

On the other hand, consumable commodities that are susceptible to large increases in supply, are less effective in storing value.

In the Bitcoin Standard, Saifedean Ammous adapted stock-to-flow to compare bitcoin to commodities used for investment and consumption and the use of the metric has since expanded and even given rise to models based on the ratio.

Gold, the most resilient store of value through the ages, has the highest stock-to-flow ratio, followed by Bitcoin (today) and silver.

Following the recent halving (May 2020), the gap between the gold and Bitcoin ratio compressed.

Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow will eclipse that of gold following the next halving (2024).”

Grayscale echoes Fidelity’s assessment that commodities with high S2F ratios are typically sought after by investors.

The investment giant looks at Bitcoin to illustrate the positive correlation between an asset’s price and its S2F ratio.

“Commodities with high stock-to-flow ratios such as Bitcoin, gold, and silver have historically been utilized as stores of value.”

However, Grayscale cautions that the S2F price model does not guarantee an increase in the asset’s value.

“While it’s true that price has followed this stock-to-flow model with high correlation, the relationship may be spurious and does not take into account the requisite demand for price appreciation.”

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

BLOOMBERG PREDICTS GOLD AT $3K, BITCOIN AT $20K IN CURRENT BULL RUN!

A bullish comment on gold by a top Bloomberg Intelligence analyst could leave Bitcoin in a similar upside spell.

“Central banks essentially printing money to spur inflation is a solid foundation for the benchmark store of value,” McGlone said.

“Gold bottomed at about $700 in 2008 and peaked near $1,900 in 2011. A similar-velocity 2.7x advance from this year’s low-close near $1,470 would approach $4,000 by 2023.”

The analyst said in its June update that the cryptocurrency could hit $20,000 by the end of this year, citing increasingly favorable fundamental and technical factors.

They included its maturity as an asset, followed by its rising futures open interest and more buy-and-hold strategy among institutional investors.

“Bitcoin ended 2019 at about $7,000, near the bottom of its range, favoring a shift toward the peak. Last year, the high was about $14,000, which would translate into almost double in 2020 if rotating within the recent band,” Mr. McGlone explained.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

#Bitcoin Asymmetric ReturnLast 10 years (2011-2020):– 2 years negative return (2014, 2018)– 3 years [+25% -> +100%] return (2015, 2019, 2020)

– 5 years >100% return (of which 3 yrs >1000% return!) pic.twitter.com/WFatEzbG5Z

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) August 26, 2020

The Fed, under the leadership of Jerome Powell, continues to be #Bitcoin‘s biggest booster. On Thursday, he will deliver a speech about how the Fed will begin targeting higher inflation. 🧙‍♂️🙏🚀https://t.co/MUXB2MRTp3

— Tyler Winklevoss (@tylerwinklevoss) August 25, 2020

Bloomberg Predicts Gold at $3K, Bitcoin at $20K in Current Bull Run

https://cointelegraph.com/news/tyler-winklevoss-says-us-fed-is-the-biggest-booster-of-bitcoin-price

https://dailyhodl.com/2020/08/25/asset-giant-fidelity-analyzes-model-that-forecasts-bitcoin-rise-to-1000000/

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$120,000 is the new BTC price target set for the next Bitcoin bull cycle.

A popular cryptocurrency analyst says a breakdown of Bitcoin’s past bull market cycles may indicate where the leading cryptocurrency will head next.

CryptoWolf tells his 18,600 followers on Twitter that each subsequent BTC bull run has taken longer to materialize than the last.

After crunching the numbers, he believes the Bitcoin price will reach its next top in December of 2022, about 1,400 days after its primary bottom of $3,220 in December of 2018.

As for the return on investment, he says BTC will surge 40x, bringing the price to approximately $120,000.

In other Crypto news today:

Bitcoin is flashing ‘Extremely Bullish’ signals, says cryptocurrency analyst and portfolio manager Mati Greenspan.

He says Bitcoin may make another move to the upside in the near term. In his latest Quantum Economics newsletter, Greenspan says BTC may enter a brief period of consolidation before making its next move.

“Bitcoin’s technical indicators just keep flashing bullish signals. [On Wednesday] we pointed out a ‘reverse head & shoulders’ pattern that ended up playing out about two hours after I hit send. What’s more comforting is that the breakout occurred on high volume… we can see that continuation with a retest of the neckline in a picture perfect bullish flag pattern.” – Mati Greenspan.

In todays show we also share the latest Ethereum and Ripple XRP news updates you should be aware of.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

Bitcoin Analysis.– Bull cycles are getting longer.– ROI since bottom are decreasing.Conclusion of cycle IV:Next top: ~ 1400 days since bottom. ETA December 2022

ROI: ~40X since bottom, ~120k $. pic.twitter.com/vN8LuRGlLM

— CryptoWolf (@IamCryptoWolf) November 27, 2019

https://dailyhodl.com/analyst-new-bitcoin-bull-cycle-will-take-btc-to-120000-plus-xrp-ripple-litecoin-update/

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Over the past few weeks, investors have begun to doubt the veracity of the assertion that “BTC is on the verge of its next bull run.”

While there are reasons to believe this is the case, an analyst has asserted that per one key metric, the Bitcoin price has “never been more bullish.”

The past few weeks have undoubtedly been weak for the cryptocurrency market; the BTC price has collapsed from the $10,500 high to a price as low as $8,400 established just this weekend, while the hash rate of Bitcoin has stagnated.

But, according to the latest data from Blockchain.com, miners are once again allocating many resources to the security of the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Case in point: the hash rate of the Bitcoin network reached a new all-time high of 136 exahashes (or 136,000,000 terahashes) per second just two days ago – nearly three times higher than it was one year ago.

Commenting on the significance of this, crypto price tracking app Blockfolio wrote:

“As Wall Street experiences the worst week since the 2008 financial crisis, Bitcoin’s hash rate has just reached a new all-time high. 136,264,908 tera hashes per second.”

This optimism has been echoed by analyst RookieXBT, who noted on Tuesday that the hash rate is almost “~940% from where it was when Bitcoin (BTC) was at an all-time high” of $20,000.

This, RookieXBT wrote, is a sign that “Bitcoin has never been more bullish.” Indeed, growth in the hash rate of the network suggests at least two things: 1) Bitcoin miners are confident in the long-term success of the cryptocurrency (especially in terms of price) and allocate more resources to the security of the network; and 2) the technology of mining machines is being improved on, resulting in the increase in hash rate.

Chainlink (LINK) Nears $5 All-Time High Unfazed by Bitcoin Price Slump

Chainlink’s (LINK) 27.48% gain over the past four days shows that the altcoin continues to function as an outlier when compared against the recent performance of other cryptocurrencies.

This strong recovery from the swing low at $3.30 to $4.79 has LINK now approaching its previous all-time high at $4.86. 

Unlike Bitcoin (BTC), LINK trading volume has shown that traders are excitedly buying each dip and the candlesticks of the past 3 days clearly show that a strong reversal has occurred. 

In the daily timeframe, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows a bull cross between the MACD and signal line and the histogram has recently popped above 0, a rather compelling move considering that the altcoin has already gained 26.57% since March 2.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

https://cointelegraph.com/news/chainlink-link-nears-5-all-time-high-unfazed-by-bitcoin-price-slump