Statistician Who Predicted Bitcoin Crash Says BTC Price Will Moon | Coordinated Whale Manipulation

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Analysis of Bitcoin price action dating back to 2011 suggests the coin price could next top out somewhere between $75,000 and $306,000, research from Kraken shows.

Based on one reading of a logarithmic growth curve that connects historical tops and bottoms, a BTC price of $75,000 would signal Bitcoin’s entry into overbought territory, marking the end of its current bull run.

“Based on previous cycles, Bitcoin could likely continue appreciating gradually in price before ultimately going parabolic and hitting resistance, which will signal the end of its fourth bull market cycle,” the report states.

Analysis of historical price retracements throws up some even bolder predictions. All things being equal, if BTC were to continue along its current growth curve and then enter a retracement similar to prior market crashes, the next bottom would be somewhere around $30,000.

Based on this proposed bottom one can attempt to make predictions about the next market peak, depending on the extent of the retracement.

Were Bitcoin to retrace 70% during the current cycle, the coin price would have to reach a peak of $102,000 in order to hit the aforementioned bottom of $30,000.

Similarly, a 90% crash would place the next top at $306,000, while an 86% drop — the average retracement of previous market cycles — would imply an upcoming market peak of $221,000. Either way, states the report, history would suggest Bitcoin remains “far and away” from a market top.

Diving into the historical data once more, the first quarter of 2021 proved to be the third-best performing quarter in Bitcoin’s 12-year existence, based on return percentage and annualized volatility.

Kraken’s research shows that March has historically been a bad month for Bitcoin, with the coin price appreciating just twice during this period since it began trading. In the past, March has, on average, underperformed February’s growth by 11%.

The report also notes that Bitcoin is now trending in a manner similar to the first quarter of 2013 — the most fruitful Q1 in the coin’s history. A correlation of 0.82 between the two is an encouraging sign and could subvert the historic trend which sees Bitcoin underperform in March.

Bitcoin recorded five consecutive months of positive returns leading up to the time of publication. That’s a sight witnessed just once before — in 2017 during the lead up to that year’s bull run and subsequent market peak.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

Kraken CEO Reveals $1 Million Bitcoin Price Target – Here’s When It Could Happen

Kraken CEO Jesse Powell believes that Bitcoin is set to hit the seven-figure mark.

In a new interview with Bloomberg TV, Powell bets that Bitcoin’s price will grow by roughly 2,000% within the next decade and says it could eventually replace other dominant world currencies.

“So you know the people that are believers in Bitcoin say it’s going to replace all of the world’s currency, so basically whatever the market cap of the dollar is or the euro all of that combined is what bitcoin could be worth.

In the near term, people see it surpassing gold as a store of value, so I think $1 million as a price target within the next ten years is very reasonable.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

#bitcoin went from $10K in Oct to $50K in Feb. Do you realize that if we do that same 5x in 5 months, then BTC is $250K in July 🔥

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) March 5, 2021

BitGo has revealed that it holds $250 million in #Bitcoin on its balance sheet.

The digital asset infrastructure company has held #BTC since 2014

— Bitcoin Archive 🗄🚀🌔 (@BTC_Archive) March 6, 2021

As a #Bitcoin sovereign individual the number of people I’m obligated to interact with is very small. This is an underrated luxury.

— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) March 5, 2021

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-s-next-top-could-be-between-75k-and-306k-kraken-research-suggests

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The Bitcoin price will hit $100K+ per BTC before 2022 according to popular Crypto analysts PlanB, Tom Lee, Anthony Pompliano and Bitmex CEO Arthur Hayes.

This is around the date of the Bitcoin (BTC) block reward halving, which would kick off the “bull run” sending the cryptocurrency to $100,000 before December 2021.

PlanB released the predictions describing them as his “2 sats on BTC price.” In a previous update in January 2019, he claimed BTC/USD would stay above its 200-week moving average (200WMA), which historically had always grown.

Stock-to-flow uses two indicators to chart Bitcoin’s price trajectory: the number of Bitcoins already available versus the number of new Bitcoins added to circulation.

Historically highly accurate, the model puts Bitcoin on par with gold in terms of its status as hard money with a supply that is virtually impossible to manipulate, unlike fiat currency. 

In the long term, PlanB expects BTC/USD to trade at an average of $100,000 between 2021 and 2024.

After that, however, fiat weakness may reach such an extent that BTC (Bitcoin) appreciates to “a factor” of $100,000, at which point stock-to-flow would ironically become less useful. 

Bitcoin is starting 2020 with a bang. With double-digit gains in January, the top cryptocurrency briefly breached psychological resistance at $10,000 over the weekend.

Even with the current pullback to $9,757, BTC is still up by over 36% year-to-date, with more upside potential this year, according to Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee.

In a recent appearance on CNBC’s Power Lunch, Lee argues that Bitcoin is now at the start of a new bull run. “A lot of good things have happened with Bitcoin this year. One is the halvening is happening in May. But we broke above the 200-day [moving average] – so back in a bull market.

There is the corona[virus] risk and geo-political tension… Last year, I think Washington killed the Bitcoin rally.

But with the elections, it’s sort of not in the purview of Washington. So I think Bitcoin could rally very strongly from here.”

Regarding the projected strength of the rally, Lee adds, “When Bitcoin breaks above its 200-day, which it did about two weeks ago, its average six-month gain is about 190%. So this would point to all-time highs sometime this year.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

Bitcoin just hit $10,000.I still think that Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by end of December 2021.

Fixed supply. Increasing demand. Time will tell. #Bitcoin

— Pomp 🌪 (@APompliano) February 9, 2020

It is not S2F related, and also not WMA200 related. It is a new not yet disclosed indicator that is the result from chain analytics. So if it would drop below $8200 (what I do not expect), then I will drop that indicator.

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) February 10, 2020

https://cointelegraph.com/news/anthony-pompliano-believes-bitcoin-price-climb-to-100k-has-started

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-has-set-82k-floor-100k-coming-before-2022-analyst

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Former Facebook executive-turned Bitcoin billionaire venture capitalist, Chamath Palihapitiya, has warned neither Biden nor Trump will help U.S. dollar – but holding BTC is an “insurance policy” that helps him to “sleep soundly at night.” “

The reality is that [the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury] have printed so much money that the likelihood is that we’re going to continue to see asset price inflation independent of who’s in the White House,” Palihapitiya told CNBC’s Squawk Box this week, adding he holds bitcoin just “in case the central banks and governments of the world step on a landmine.”

The Fed and the Treasury have embarked on massive stimulus programs this year, injecting trillions of dollars in the financial system in an attempt to offset the economic damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

This unprecedented intervention, propelling the stock market to record highs even as unemployment has spiked and businesses struggle nationwide, has sparked fears among some investors that a severe bout of inflation is on the way.

Palihapitiya, who began his VC career while still at Facebook in 2011 and has backed the likes of big data analytics firm Palantir and Richard Branson’s space exploration company Virgin Galactic, has long argued Bitcoin serves as a long-term store of value and should be included in every investors’ portfolio.

“I still think that what I talked about sort of eight or nine years ago still holds, which is as a 1% hedge in our portfolio.” Chamath, who purchased 1,000,000 Bitcoin’s back in 2013 at about $80 per BTC says he expects the Bitcoin price to climb as high as $1 million per coin over the next 20 years.

However, Palihapitiya warned against the buying and selling of bitcoin for short-term profit, advising investors to hold it and “hope that you never need it because the amount of actual chaos that will drive bitcoin appreciation is not something we actually really want to see.”

“The reality is [bitcoin’s] fundamentally not [correlated with stock markets] because it is underpinned by a set of beliefs that are completely orthogonal to the orthodoxy that runs the world today, and it is completely the inverse of how the financial infrastructure of the world operates,” Palihapitiya said.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

Crypto Strategist Who Called Bitcoin’s Massive Collapse in 2018 Says BTC Poised to Flash Major Buy Signal

A veteran commodities trader known for accurately predicting Bitcoin’s epic fall from $20,000 says that the leading cryptocurrency is on the cusp of flashing a major buy signal.

Peter Brandt, CEO of trading firm Factor Trading Co., is sharing a chart that shows the crypto king is poised to break out of a symmetrical triangle dating back to 2017.

BTC now needs to close out the week above the $11,100 mark for confirmation.

Brandt cites large Bitcoin purchases from payments giant Square and business intelligence company MicroStrategy as significant fundamental factors driving Bitcoin’s price.

Collectively, the two companies have bought $500 million worth of Bitcoin within the last month.

“It is a major development that a global corporation is now putting BTC onto its balance sheet. The weekly and daily charts a poised to flash a big buy signal.”

Back in January, Brandt said Bitcoin could surpass $100,000 in its current long-term cycle.

However, as the COVID-19 pandemic continues to hit financial markets, the veteran technical trader revealed last month that he exited the crypto market and moved his assets to the US dollar.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2020/10/11/neither-trump-nor-biden-will-help-the-us-dollar-warns-early-facebook-exec-calls-bitcoin-an-insurance-policy/#6bacf1a8360a

https://news.bitcoin.com/here-are-the-top-public-companies-that-have-adopted-bitcoin-as-a-reserve-asset/