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Renowned quantitative analyst PlanB is revealing what he thinks the end of this year will bring for Bitcoin, and how much longer the current crypto bull market can last.
The top end of PlanB’s S2FX model pins $288,000 for BTC at the peak of this cycle. However, the analyst suggests that a brief shot above that target before finally correcting is not impossible.
“I guess we will be above $100,000 [or] above $135,000 at the end of the year, and we’ll continue to grow maybe towards the S2FX model targets, $288,000 or even above. I would not be surprised even to see in Q1 or Q2 next year, prices of $300,000, $400,000, $500,000…”
In other trending Bitcoin News today: Bitcoin Supply Shortage Setting the Stage for Higher Prices, According to Crypto Analyst Nicholas Merten!
Popular crypto analyst Nicholas Merten of DataDash is looking at one key metric to explain what’s fueling Bitcoin’s bull run towards new all-time highs.
“So we’re in October. We were hoping by the end of this year that we would see a rise back up to previous all-time highs of 65k, and then set the stage to continue climbing higher and make new all-time highs in price, and eventually charter towards six-digit territory at 100k, and with our most euphoric estimate being $200,000 in this cycle.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
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JPMORGAN SAYS GOLD WILL SUFFER FOR YEARS BECAUSE OF BITCOIN! BTC TO K BY MAY 2021, SAYS THE MOON!
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Bitcoin advocate, The Moon Carl who has 146,000+ YouTube subscribers, told his 70,000+ Twitter followers that he predicts the BTC price to hit $50,000 by May, 2021.
This virtually means he expects the Bitcoin price to grow 250% in the next 5 months.
Stock-to-flow model predicts a $100,000 BTC by December of 2021 so The Moon Carls bullish Bitcoin prediction is right in alignment with this popular model.
In other breaking Bitcoin News today:
JPMorgan Says Gold Will Suffer for Years Because of Bitcoin
The rise of cryptocurrencies in mainstream finance is coming at the expense of gold, says JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Money has poured into Bitcoin funds and out of gold since October, a trend that’s only going to continue in the long run as more institutional investors take a position in cryptocurrencies, according to the bank’s quantitative strategists including Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou.
JPMorgan is one of the few Wall Street banks that’s predicting a major shift in gold and crypto markets as digital currencies become increasingly popular as an asset class. The trend poses a problem for bulls in precious metals markets over the coming years if investors move, even a small slice, of their allocations away from gold and into crypto.
“The adoption of bitcoin by institutional investors has only begun, while for gold its adoption by institutional investors is very advanced,” wrote the JPMorgan strategists.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, a listed security popular with institutions, has seen inflows of almost $2 billion since October, compared with outflows of $7 billion for exchange-traded funds backed by gold, according to JPMorgan.
JPMorgan’s calculations suggest Bitcoin only accounts for 0.18% of family office assets, compared with 3.3% for gold ETFs. Tilting the needle from gold to bitcoin would represent the transfer of billions in cash.
One way to play the theme is buying one unit of Grayscale and selling three units of the SPDR Gold Trust, the bank said.
“If this medium to longer term thesis proves right, the price of gold would suffer from a structural flow headwind over the coming years,” wrote JPMorgan’s strategists.
In other tending Bitcoin news:
MicroStrategy CEO Increases Convertible Senior Notes Offering to $635M to Buy More Bitcoin
Michael Saylor just doesn’t give a f—. As we reported, the company’s share dived 17% after Citi released its bearish report on MicroStrategy, where the analyst questions Saylor’s focus on Bitcoin.
While Citi analysts called Bitcoins’ rally “overextended,” it has been the Bitcoin investment that helped the company shares rise to a level not seen since 2000. In 2020, BTC has rallied more than 150% on top of 2019’s 90% gains.
MicroStrategy CEO announced today the pricing of the offerings of the convertible senior notes.
As per the official announcement, the offering amount has been bumped up to $550 million from the previous $400 million as shared in Monday’s announcement. The official announcement reads,
“MicroStrategy estimates that the net proceeds from the sale of the notes will be approximately $537.2 million (or approximately $634.9 million if the initial purchasers exercise in full their option to purchase additional notes).”
But of course, the most interesting part of it all is that the company intends to invest the net proceeds from the sale of notes in Bitcoin per its Treasury Reserve Policy. Bitcoin advocate Max Keiser said,
“Michael_saylor /MicroStrategy is making a speculative attack on the Fed/USD like Soros/Druckenmiller did against the BoE/GBP in 1992, ejecting it from the ERM.”
“Saylor has pulled the pin and tossed a grenade into the Fed’s boardroom.”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
Citi: “You’re crazy with this Bitcoin thing. You’re downgraded!” 👉🏻😵
MicroStrategy: “We have *so* much investor interest we’re upping our offering from $400M to $550M. Oh, and investors can buy another $100M on top of that if they want.”
— Ellie Frost (@BlockBytch_) December 9, 2020
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WILL BITCOIN PRICE HIT ,000 POST HALVING?! | BTC Just Passed K Yet Again: What's Next?
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Many analysts asserted that 2020 would be a strong year for the Bitcoin price long before the current global economic crisis began.
Most notably, the flagship cryptocurrency was expected to jump after May’s block reward halving.
New data now suggest that these BTC predictions are still on-track.
Analyst PlanB continues to stand by the assertion that Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow ratio points to extremely high gains after the halving.
This metric is determined by comparing present inventory to production and is a common tool used to gauge the value of hard commodities such as precious metals.
PlanB has just tweeted:
“So btc has been oscillating around S2F value of $7000 for 2.5 years now. Just like before 2016 halving ($300) and before 2012 halving ($6). Excited to see if we are going to add another zero after the halving in May.”
Thus, although a prediction of USD $70k may seem outlandish, it would be perfectly in-line with previous gains for the flagship cryptocurrency.
Also, there is no doubt that the capital exists to drive Bitcoin this high, as well as the public interest.
In fact, government responses to the impending recession may make Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies even more attractive.
A just-published article on HackerNoon asserts that the banks and legacy financial companies are all but certain to receive massive bailouts, just as they did in 2008.
However, unlike twelve years ago, the infuriated public has the opportunity to put their assets into crypto, which will boost prices.
Author Mark Helfman writes: “Don’t underestimate the potential for this financial crisis to spur people into buying crypto and building businesses around crypto-based products, services, and processes.
People might get so angry that they look for an “out” that doesn’t involve the banks, governments, and corporations.”
It is worth noting that Bitcoin was born out of frustration with central banks, and the U.S. government’s willingness to prop up incompetent and corrupt financial institutions.
It is safe to assume that a repeat of this cronyism would only drive more investors into the crypto space.
Market activity notwithstanding, the development and adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are rapidly taking place.
Of particular note is the institutional embrace of blockchain technology by a wide range of industrial sectors.
Also, whereas fiat remains strong for purchases, the world is increasingly turning to crypto for remissions and financial transfers.
It is these real-world use cases that will play a key role in driving up Bitcoin’s value.
In other words, the central bank-issued fiat must now compete with a new asset class that offers many clear advantages.
When placed in this context, predictions of much higher Bitcoin prices are very realistic.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
So #btc has been oscillating around S2F value of $7000 for 2.5 years now. Just like before 2016 halving ($300) and before 2012 halving ($6). Excited to see if we are going to add another zero after the halving in May🚀 pic.twitter.com/2pkCgOSAEN
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) April 4, 2020
Bitcoin Just Passed $7,000 Yet Again: What Do Analysts Think Is Next?
Bitcoin Follows Pre-Bull Run Pattern That Sent Amazon Stocks Soaring
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ANCIENT MATH PREDICTS BITCOIN NEXT TOP AT 0K!! GLOBAL FIAT FALURE WILL PUSH BTC ACCUMULATION!!
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As Bitcoin takes out $11,000 and potentially aims higher, renewed talk of the BTC asset and its next potential peak has returned to the market.
Analysts do their best to do more than just speculate, backing up theories with fundamental statistics or technical signals to predict future prices.
But could it all be based on mathematics that’s been around for centuries? And if so, could Bitcoin’s next peak be at $270K?
Bitcoin price and what it will be some day is a regularly contested subject. Pundits pronounce the asset dead and claim it’s ready to go to zero.
Others, even the likes of billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper believe it’ll be worth in the hundreds of thousands.
If Bitcoin follows the same exact trajectory as the last bull market, it is on track for a top at around $325K, top crypto experts have claimed.
However, each peak has brought investors diminishing returns, so it is reasonable to expect that peak to be lower than the last in terms of ROI.
But could an extremely simple mathematical pattern named after a mathematician born in 1170 perfectly predict each Bitcoin top?
If it is possible, the formula points to the next peak at $270K according to a chart shared by a leading cryptocurrency analyst.
The cryptocurrency has been peaking at each Fibonacci extension ending in “.272.” Fibonacci retracement and extensions are ratios based on Fibonacci sequence.
The next one above is the 4.272 extension, residing at roughly $270K.
Everything about Bitcoin is steeped in mathematics, so it shouldn’t be shocking that math itself is the key to predicting the crypto asset’s peaks.
The remaining piece of the equation is when this peak occurs.
The “when” is argued in the crypto market nearly as much as how much Bitcoin price will ultimately reach.
Believers in the stock-to-flow model expect the cryptocurrency to rip any day now into a new bull market, potentially making that peak a lot sooner than anyone is ready for.
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
Global Fiat Failure Will Push Countries to Accumulate Bitcoin, Says Max Keiser
Max Keiser, Wall Street vet and host of RT’s Keiser Report, says he believes countries will seek refuge in Bitcoin as fiat currencies fail on a global scale.
In a new installment of Blockchain Interviews, Keiser says the gold market won’t be able to satisfy a surging appetite for safe-haven assets.
“You work through the numbers and there’s just not that much [gold] around. If you needed to buy 300 tons of gold you’re not going to find it, not at the current price. It’s going to be like ‘Okay I’ll sell you 300 tonnes of gold but I’m going to sell it to you at $25,000 an ounce, you can have all you want at $25,000.’”
Keiser expects demand for truly scarce assets to push governments around the world to eventually come around and see the value of Bitcoin.
“So then we need hard money. I think that’s where you’re going to see these central banks turn to Bitcoin and sovereign wealth funds. They’ll be like, ‘Well this Bitcoin this has been around now for 11-12 years. It’s 99.9% fail-proof and it’s got everything we want in hard money.’
You’ll see countries start to accumulate Bitcoin and start to mine for Bitcoin as well, and then they’ll start to subsidize the money they would be subsidizing the energy industry in and subsidizing that in the Bitcoin mining space. So then the game theory kicks in. So, for example, Iran right now has something like 2% of the global hash rate of Bitcoin…”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
Pretty words but no @michael_saylor type commitment to #Bitcoin on the balance sheet
American CEO’s are not getting the Big Picture about what’s happening with #BTC in countries like Nigeria with 30% hyperbitcoinization RIGHT NOW!
Let’s stop the posturing. Take action. https://t.co/mNIUgaOjEN
— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) October 1, 2020
Crypto Calculated: How Ancient Math Predicts Bitcoin’s Next Top At $270K
https://cointelegraph.com/news/12k-bitcoin-price-back-on-the-table-after-btc-rallies-above-114k
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