MACRO GURU RAOUL PAL SAYS THERE’S A 70% CHANCE BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM HIT THIS ’SHOO-IN’ PRICE!!!!

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Bitcoin bull Michael Saylor, the co-founder, and chief executive officer of publicly-traded business intelligence company MicroStrategy, has been betting big on BTC, the leading cryptocurrency.

The company bought another 205 BTC on Friday, bringing its total holdings to 91,065 BTC, representing 0.488% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply.

While the company continues to bet more and more on Bitcoin, its share prices are not feeling the same bullishness. MSTR share prices have crashed nearly 60% in less than one month from their all-time high of about $1,314 on Feb. 9.

On Friday, the MSTR shares fell as low as $537 before recovering to $620. Interestingly, MSTR is suffering from losses more than Bitcoin.

During the same period, the price of Bitcoin went from $46,500 to an ATH of $58,300, only to see a correction of 26% to almost $43k. Currently, BTC is consolidating in the $40k-$50k range.

The losses in the cryptocurrency market have actually been the result of the weakness in the stock market, which has been reacting to the rising bond yields. “The bond market selloff is showing some signs of stability, and that could mean the bitcoin pullback is nearing its end,” said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA.

In related news, MicroStrategy President and CFO Phong Le sold 10,000 shares of MSTR on March 2nd, at an average price of $802.46 a share. Company CTO Timothy Edwin Lang sold 10,000 shares of MSTR stock on Feb 22nd.

Moreover, General Counsel Wei-ming Shao sold 5,000 MSTR shares on March 3rd. Director Jarrod M Patten and Stephen X Graham also sold 1,150 shares and 2,000 shares respectively on Feb. 24.

Another criticism came from investment management firm Bireme Capital which published its Q4 2020 Investor Letter, revealing that it is short on MicroStrategy, declaring $450 as its fair value.

The fund that had a net return of 47.1% for the year ending 2020 said MicroStrategy has a massive premium, its market cap increasing by $9 billion on a ~$3b windfall on its bitcoin purchases.

According to Bireme Capital’s calculations, MSTR’s current share price implies a bitcoin price of $122,000. The letter reads,

“MicroStrategy (MSTR) is the latest firm with shrinking revenues and negligible profits to pivot to the blockchain. Rather than attempt to start a cryptocurrency business, MSTR pivoted in the most straightforward way possible: it simply bought hundreds of millions of dollars worth of bitcoin overnight. In one light, this is an utter abdication of all the principles of corporate finance. 

Why not return the money to shareholders, who can decide for themselves whether or not they want to own bitcoin? But in another light, this was a brilliant end run around the SEC, who has been denying bitcoin ETF proposals le and right for years. MSTR went from being a mere stagnant software business to the de facto bitcoin ETF.”

In other breaking Bitcoin news today:

Bitcoin Price Hits $51K As U.S. Senate Passes $1.9 Trillion Stimulus

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) reached over $51,000 on March 7 after the U.S. Senate passed the anticipated $1.9 trillion stimulus bill, which is roughly two times larger than the market capitalization of BTC.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

a graph for people selling under $500k, now of all times. zoom out. also there are more halvings, eg next 2024 and a store of value (TAM) total addressable market of $200bil ($5m-10m/BTC). and QE, MMT, NIRP, YCC etc it’s an inflation storm out there. just saying. @ecoinometrics pic.twitter.com/y9UYVPkf5p

— Adam Back (@adam3us) March 6, 2021

The $1.9 stimmy denigrates the $USD and it’s a predictable move by Congress. And so are the next 10 – 20 stimmys coming. Since I can’t stop it, I buy #Bitcoin and watch the price skyrocket. Maybe someday we’ll come back to reality, but hopefully not too soon 😂😂😂

— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) March 6, 2021

https://bitcoinexchangeguide.com/microstrategys-massive-premium-implies-bitcoin-price-of-122k-says-investment-firm-short-on-mstr/

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-hits-51k-as-u-s-senate-passes-1-9-trillion-stimulus

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Two years ago, venture capitalist and noted Bitcoin investor Tim Draper publicly stated that BTC will hit $250,000 by 2022.

Yet, as Bitcoin continues to gain interest from investors, Draper revealed to Cointelegraph during an interview that a $250,000 price prediction may have been conservative:

“I think it’ll certainly hit that. But a lot of people are thinking that $250,000 was a little too conservative.” 

Draper also discussed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the blockchain space, noting that tokenization will play a major role in solving problems related to global shipping and real estate.

Additionally, Draper shared his thoughts on decentralized finance, or DeFi, saying he wants to “‘DeFi’ the venture capitalist business” moving forward.

CT: Right now, the world is in the midst of a crisis. Which technological breakthrough will help humanity come out stronger on the other end? 

TD: Tokenization will advance. We’re seeing it in real estate, global shipping and in everything where items of value need to be moved between parties.

Now, these items can be transferred over the internet, which is so useful for industries like real estate and global shipping.

In the case of real estate, you could buy a piece of my house, or you could tokenize my real estate and own a piece of that property without having to buy the whole thing. 

Tokenization and shipping is also a great way for people to own containers to keep track of the entire Iot.

I think we’re going to see some extraordinary breakthroughs in shipping and also with any kind of logistic use cases.

CT: And are you still sticking with your prediction that Bitcoin will hit $250,000 by 2022?

TD: Yes, Bitcoin will hit $250,000 by 2022 or the beginning of 2023. That $250,000 is really based on a 5% market share of currencies.

I think that’s easily achievable, especially as more women start using Bitcoin, since they control 80% of retail spending. It’s really interesting that there used to be one in 15 Bitcoin wallets that women held, and now it’s advancing.

As women start using those wallets, they’ll realize this is much easier. I moved as much of my money as I felt fair into Bitcoin. And so, yes, I think it’ll certainly hit that, but a lot of people are thinking that was a little too conservative.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

Bitcoin Price Hits $14,000 Exactly 12 Years After Whitepaper Released

The price of Bitcoin has surpassed the critical $14,000 mark, the highest level since January 2018.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) surpassed $14,000 on Oct. 31, the day Satoshi Nakamoto released the Bitcoin whitepaper in 2008.

Since then, the world’s biggest cryptocurrency has seen remarkable and exponential growth across various areas.

Fast forward 12 years, since the October 31, 2008 release of the whitepaper, Bitcoin is in a different growth trajectory.

An institutional craze is leading the BTC rally, major financial institutions are supporting crypto assets, and the market has become increasingly liquid.

The 12-year anniversary of the Bitcoin whitepaper is particularly special for Bitcoin because it marks the third post-halving cycle.

Every four years, Bitcoin undergoes a block reward halving, which cuts the rate at which new BTC is mined by half.

This happens because 21 million BTC can ever exist on the blockchain.

As BTC approaches its fixed supply, the rate of production gets slowed.

A halving historically has had a positive impact on the price of Bitcoin.

It reduces the pace a new BTC supply is introduced to the market.

Consequently, every four years, there is less BTC flowing into the exchange market.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

Compared to the past ($1, $10, $100, $1K, $10K), we will see a short insane mania fomo peak above $100K. It’s impossible to say how high exactly. Anything between $120K and $220K I guess, based on these previous tops.https://t.co/LxYLwAJM7o

— Bit Harington (@bitharington) October 31, 2020

$15,000 by Monday #Bitcoin

— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) October 30, 2020

Tim Draper wants to “DeFi venture capitalism,” also noting that Bitcoin will hit $250 thousand in the coming years thanks to consumer adoption. https://t.co/lrb1zJhM1s

— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) October 30, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/cash-is-trash-so-lets-bet-425-million-on-bitcoin-11604070071

https://cointelegraph.com/news/tim-draper-seeks-to-defi-the-venture-capital-business-with-bitcoin

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-hits-14-000-exactly-12-years-after-whitepaper-released

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Raoul Pal of Global Macro Investor is breaking down the potential paths ahead for Bitcoin as the BTC halving approaches.

He says Bitcoin is currently in one of the best positions of any asset he’s ever seen, trading inside a “perfect wedge” that he believes is a precursor to a massive new bull run.

Pal’s first depiction of the wedge using traditional charting techniques has the Bitcoin price targeting $40,000.

But when switching to a log price scale to get a long-term perspective, Pal says the BTC price is on a trajectory to $1 million.

Using linear regression channels, which highlight the upper, lower and middle portions of a trend or price move, Pal says BTC displays a move to $400,000 to $1 million.

He says his analysis aligns with Bitcoin predictions from the anonymous strategist PlanB. “Whatever plays out, after a key technical break like today, the probability of vastly higher prices has risen dramatically. And this is confirmed by the stock to flow models by PlanB and the breakout has happened almost exactly at the halvening.”

Pal also points to a rapid increase in money printing and struggling currencies in places like Venezuela and Argentina as a sign of what’s to come.

“Add to that the entire world’s central banks are either seeing their currencies collapse to the almighty dollar (BRL, TRY, ARG, etc) or they are printing money like crazy. Huge quantitative easing fiat meets the hardest money that automatically quantitatively tightens. BTC wins.

This is the one of the best setups in any asset class I’ve ever witnessed… technical, fundamental, flow of funds and plumbing. All. Now. Again, to be clear, even if it has 90% odds, doesn’t mean its definitely going to work…I can and will be wrong…often and dramatically.”

Pal says he recently allocated 25% of his liquid net cash to Bitcoin, along with 25% to gold.

He’s reserving another 25% for trading opportunities and plans to keep the last 25% in cash.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

THESE 4 TRENDS SUGGEST BITCOIN WILL ROCKET HIGHER TOWARDS $15,000: FUNDSTRAT

Since the $3,700 lows, Bitcoin has roared higher, crossing above resistance after resistance in succession. 

Just recently, BTC tapped $10,000.

Although impressive, top analyst Tom Lee expects for the cryptocurrency to head even higher, citing three “solid” tailwinds for this market.

“There’s a confluence of four fundamental factors that indicate Bitcoin’s medium-term to long-term trend is shaping positive, analyst Thomas Lee has said. The co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, a New York-based research firm, identified them as follows:

1 – Bitcoin is the best-performing “asset class” in 2020, beating U.S. Treasuries and Gold amid a global recession. Treasuries are up 21% while the precious metal is up 13% — already much better performances than the S&P 500’s 10% drop, the 5% drop in emerging market corporate bonds, and the 20% drop in the Russell 2000 index.

2 – In a similar vein, BTC was the best-performing asset class of 2019, rallying 92% while the U.S. stock market gained around 20%.

3 – The block reward reduction, known as a “halving,” is taking place in four days, estimates suggest.

4 – Paul Tudor Jones, one of the world’s biggest macro investors, just announced his fund is taking a stake in Bitcoin futures. Jones believes the cryptocurrency will act as a hedge against inflation.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

https://bitcoinblockhalf.com/