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Late last month, the Bitcoin price saw a jaw-dropping trading session, with the BTC price gaining 42% in a 24-hour time frame; this was Bitcoin’s best daily performance in over six years.

This move, which brought the asset from $7,300 to $10,500, shocked many, with many seeing the surge as entirely non-sensical.

Though, retrospective analysis has shown that $7,300 was the price of the 200-day moving average on the CME futures market at that time, making the 42% bounce extremely peculiar.

While there is no guarantee a bounce will happen again, according to this BTC price analysis, Bitcoin is yet again knocking on the door of the 200-day moving average on the CME’s chart.

What do analysts expect to happen this time around?

Bitcoin has declined below the psychological level of $8,000 for the first time since October 25.

Interestingly, the trading volume on Bitcoin futures exchange Bakkt is increasing, which suggests that institutional investors are happy to enter the market at lower prices.

One of the possible reasons behind the ongoing decline is the so-called mining capitulation.

The phenomenon was discussed in detail by crypto analyst Cole Garner, who argued that small miners are forced to giving up on the process as it becomes too expensive for them.

The gradual exit of unhappy miners could soon end up in a massive sell-off that could drag the Bitcoin price to new lows that were unthinkable last summer.

Crypto analyst DonAlt shared on Twitter…

“People talking about $3000 right now are being more unreasonable than people talking about new highs. A run from $200 -> $20k is going to take some time to digest. $3k was an overreaction to the downside. $14k was an overreaction to the upside. We’re now finding middle ground.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

People talking about $3000 right now are being more unreasonable than people talking about new highs.A run from $200 -> $20k is going to take some time to digest.$3k was an overreaction to the downside.$14k was an overreaction to the upside.

We’re now finding middle ground.

— DonAlt (@CryptoDonAlt) November 21, 2019

Bitcoin Drops Below $8K For First Time This Month, Here’s Why

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Tone Vays, the well-known BTC derivatives trader, believes the Bitcoin price will stay above $10,000 for the rest of 2020. 

At the start of the year, Vays said he was skeptical the BTC price would break $20,000 in 2021 but now he thinks it’s possible for the top cryptocurrency to overtake its record all-time high.

If the price of Bitcoin surpasses $20,000 in the medium-term, Vays said history shows it tends to double.

Based on the historical price cycles, he said the $45,000 to $50,000 range is a reasonable target.

During an interview with IGTV, Vays said:

“Every time Bitcoin breaks a prior all-time high, especially when it takes years to break that all-time high, it tends to usually more than double. So I think $45,000 to $50,000 is a reasonable target.”

Throughout 2020, Vays said Bitcoin would likely stay above $10,000 and gear towards $20,000 the following year.

He noted:

“In the beginning of the year, I thought that even next year would be a struggle to break $20k. Now I think it’s pretty likely that we’ll break $20k next year.”

As on-chain analysts have said throughout August, the $10,000 area has become a strong support level for Bitcoin.

As long as a key psychological level at $10,000 is intact, an extended uptrend becomes more likely.

Vays also drew a comparison between Bitcoin and gold. He emphasized that gold broke its all-time high and saw a 5% upside past its previous high fairly quickly. 

The trader explained that Bitcoin could do something similar over the medium to long-term when it breaks its previous all-time high at $20,000. He stated:

“We are watching what’s happening with gold right now. Gold finally broke its all-time high, that it made ten years ago, just recently, and it went already $100 past that. So it went 5% more fairly quickly. So let’s see how fast gold goes up since breaking all-time high, and Bitcoin can do something similar.”

How far could Bitcoin go?

Various price models predict the price of Bitcoin to reach anywhere between $30,000 to $250,000 in the long-term. 

According to Vays, he would be satisfied if the next top of Bitcoin is at around $45,000.

Historically, Bitcoin has seen a major breakout past its previous record high, reach a new peak, then correct.

A rapid upsurge to unsustainable price levels could leave BTC vulnerable to sharp drops. He added:

“Do we think we go as high as $100,000? I’m not willing to make that statement. For me, I would be happy if the next top was around $45,000, and that can happen quickly.”

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

Analyst: Bitcoin Trajectory Ahead of Schedule, Peak Projected At $325K

Bitcoin price recently set a new high for 2020 but has since pulled back to just under $12,000.

However, the cryptocurrency is slightly “ahead of schedule,” according to a top crypto expert and former Google engineer.

Because the asset is further beyond in its cycle “trajectory,” it could mean that there’s still more downside to go before the bull run picks up in steam.

In the end, however, it doesn’t matter, as the same projection brings the cryptocurrency to a peak of over $325,000 in under two years.

According to the crypto expert, if the cryptocurrency was following the last cycle exactly, the price per BTC should be trading around roughly $10,800.

Currently, BTCUSD is trading roughly $1000 higher following a pullback that began after setting a local high at $12,400.

If Bitcoin continues to follow this path, and it has thus far, the next peak would arrive sometime around October 19, 2021.

The target? $325,000.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

If we were to follow the 2016/17 trajectory (we’re ahead of schedule right now), the peak of the cycle would occur on October 19th, 2021 and the peak price would be approximately…

$325,000 👀

— Vijay Boyapati (@real_vijay) August 19, 2020

Stats showcasing crypto growth in 2020– Crypto market cap +95% – Stablecoin market cap +185%

– $BTC +65%

– $ETH +220%
– $LINK +800%– BTC futures OI +50%– BTC options OI +560%– BTC CME futures OI +660%– BTC CME futures OI (in BTC) +360%

– Total value locked in DeFi +900%

— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) August 20, 2020

Analyst: Bitcoin Trajectory Ahead of Schedule, Peak Projected At $325K

https://grayscale.co/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Grayscale_Valuing_Bitcoin.pdf

https://cointelegraph.com/news/grayscale-bitcoin-market-looks-like-2016-before-historic-bull-run

https://cointelegraph.com/news/50k-bitcoin-is-reasonable-if-btc-hits-new-highs-says-tone-vays

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The pseudo-anonymous Bitcoin analyst called Plan B gave his 704,000 Twitter followers an update on the notorious stock-to-flow (S2F) BTC price model. 

Plan B stressed on August 27, that the “next months will be key” as he believes the Bitcoin S2F model predicts a minimal $100K by Christmas and also predicts, Bitcoin continues its 10+ year path and does another 10x in 4 years.”

“Wait until you seen my base case and best case scenarios! OK, a hint: best case Dec $450K.”

In other trending Bitcoin News today: Bitcoin Bull and Bear Cycles To Become a Thing of the Past, According to On-Chain Analyst Willy Woo!

Woo says he sees Bitcoin as being in its ‘last cycle’, before entering a new era where BTC no longer has obvious bull and bear markets.

“I don’t think we’re going to have like what we see these normal four-year cycles again. I’m calling this the ‘last cycle.’ And people will think that’s very somber and bearish, but no I mean like, this thing does a drunk walk of ups and downs, trending upwards as it finds its adoption for indefinite amounts of time. These four-year cycles are gone. That’s what I think might be happening, which is a big revelation because that’s against the expectation of the majority think, so we’ll see if that plays out.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

https://news.bitcoin.com/plan-bs-stock-to-flow-bitcoin-price-model-predicts-100k-by-christmas-s2f-creator-discusses-time-model/

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-whales-join-small-fish-in-buying-btc-as-price-holds-above-47k