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Mimicking 5,000% gains which were experienced during the previous BTC halving bull cycle, gives a Bitcoin price of $424,000, happening sometime in November 2021.
Obviously, there is no indication yet as to whether the 20MA will now act as support for an extended Bitcoin (BTC) bull run.
But, if we assume that we have reached that point in the cycle and project the same gains from this point as we saw from February 2016, we come up with an impressive new all-time high (ATH).
However, Cowen does not see fresh gains of 5,000%, rather than gains on the way to the next ATH may be a more conservative, although still huge 1,000-1,500%.
He also thinks that the market cycles are lengthening.
Specifically that the time between the halving and the peak has been getting longer.
After the first Bitcoin halving, the peak came after around 52 weeks.
However, after the second halving, this period increased to 73 weeks. Cowen, therefore, suggests that the peak following this year’s halving may take longer still, with a potential peak not occurring until 2022.
Still, that would give us a $125k BTC price sometime in early 2022, which is certainly not to be sniffed at… if we can stay above the 20MA as support.
Analyst Who Predicts Bitcoin Will Hit $1,000,000 Says This Ratio Shows BTC’s Big Advantage Over Amazon
PlanB, a closely-watched crypto analyst known for his bold prediction that Bitcoin will hit $1,000,000 over the next decade, says a popular ratio used to asses risk and reward shows the leading cryptocurrency’s potential upside compared to some of the biggest stocks on the Nasdaq.
The analyst is releasing a series of charts that apply the Sharpe ratio to BTC, Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google.
The ratio was created by Nobel laureate William Sharpe and is designed to show the amount of return an investor could potentially get for enduing the volatility of a risky asset.
The pseudonymous analyst says Bitcoin has a Sharpe ratio greater than 1, which is well above the competition.
“Bitcoin is the only asset with a ‘Sharpe ratio’ greater than 1! Classic asset (stocks, bonds, gold) risk and return [is] basically flat. Even FAANG (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google) [are] not even close to BTC. Note I skipped Bitcoin’s first years (2009-2012) and updated data.”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.