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Bitcoin has the potential to surpass $1 million in the next three to five years, says Raoul Pal, calling BTC the “biggest trade of our lifetimes.”
In September’s crypto outlook newsletter, Bloomberg’s analyst Mike McGlone observed that the Bitcoin price could either be heading to the $500,000 mark, or it could fail.
McGlone has continued to reiterate that in his view, Bitcoin is set to become digital gold.
He emphasized once again how Bitcoin’s limited supply and increasing demand were key adoption indicators, and drew comparisons to the 2017 bull run:
“Much of the broad crypto-asset market echoes 2017’s excesses, but the foundation is firming due to expanding decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and finance (DeFi).
Limited supply vs. increasing demand is the bottom-line for Bitcoin, with macroeconomic underpinnings that support its march toward the market cap of gold, at a price of $500,000 by some estimates. Or it could fail.”
The estimates that the analyst refers to are likely based on assumptions that Bitcoin’s market capitalization will eventually reach parity with gold’s $9 trillion.
Dividing that number by the maximum supply of Bitcoin of 21 million produces $428,571.
A similar sentiment was recently voiced by The Morgan Creek Digital co-founder Anthony Pompliano.
Zero to five hundred thousand provide a pretty good margin of error, unlikely Bloomberg will be proven wrong anytime soon.
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
Bitcoin (BTC) Is the Best Reserve and Collateral Asset Ever Created, Says Global Macro Investor CEO
The CEO of Global Macro Investor, Raoul Pal, says Bitcoin (BTC) is the best reserve and collateral asset ever created.
In a new report on the leading cryptocurrency, the former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager says he thinks BTC, with its permanently limited supply, is the “hardest” form of money created.
He says as a reserve asset, it is superior to gold in every metric due to its decentralized nature and provable transaction history.
Pal, who predicted the 2008 financial crisis, notes that, in the current macroeconomic structure, government bonds serve as the “bottom of the pyramid” in terms of collateral for the world and the U.S. Treasury.
“That used to work just fine until the central banks became fearful of allowing the business cycle to run unimpeded. Thus, when debt loads became unsustainable, meaning that the weakest borrowers couldn’t get access to enough collateral, instead of the price of collateral rising, thus forcing firms to go bust, central banks began to increase the supply of collateral and reserves (quantitative easing).”
However, this devalues the collateral over the longer term and leads to debt spirals, Pal explains. Bitcoin, however, doesn’t have this problem, according to the investor.
“Bitcoin is pristine collateral. The greatest form of collateral. Its blockchain ownership structure reduces the huge black swan of risk of who owns what. It is all recorded and more importantly, provable.”
Pal notes that all BTC needs to become the preeminent form of collateral is a yield curve indicating future value, something that is already happening with the breakout of decentralized finance (DeFi).
“The revolution in DeFi is doing just that, establishing a forward curve of future value. It is only at the money-market phase right now (short-term yield curve) but over time we will establish the time preference for Bitcoin over 30 years or more, just like bonds.”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
In the post-Halving bull cycles, bitcoin can often correct 25% (even 40% + in 2017), throwing off the short-term traders (or giving swing traders a shot at the short side). Each of those was a buying opportunity. DCA opportunity ahead? 🙏🤞#Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/tL443DyX63
— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) September 3, 2020
I wrote a very long GMI Monthly this weekend (143 pages, 15,500 words). The core focus was this month on crypto, which I think its the worlds best trade and of which Im irresponsibly long.
Here are a couple of pages with some top-down thoughts.. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/xltojJtQn1
— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) August 31, 2020
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bloomberg-bitcoin-could-hit-500k-or-drop-to-zero