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Economist and former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager Raoul Pal says unprecedented global economic downturns could help underpin Bitcoin as the worldâs reserve currency.
And what might that do for the Bitcoin price? Pal says he believes BTC could skyrocket all the way to $1 million before the next halving, which will occur in about four years.
Due to the devastation Covid-19 has caused the global economy, Pal says thereâs a high probability that a new financial system will emerge that relies on digital currencies in multiple formats.
Pal, the founder and CEO of the Global Macro Investor, believes the market is betting on the Covid-19 recession/depression to last six months.
He thinks, however, that itâs more likely to last three years.
âItâs not clear how long it will take, but if this is a recession or depression, which I think it may well end up morphing into, and it drags on three years, I think three years would be the time horizon where theyâre gonna have to do something, because I fear that the dollar is going to rise dramatically over this period of time, and basically thatâs a wrecking ball to the global economy, the U.S. economy, and creating deflation as we go and a whole bunch of other problems.âÂ
That global economic crisis could, however, correspond with a Bitcoin explosion. When utilizing a log price scale to get a long-term outlook, Pal says the BTC price is on a path toward $1 million.
âWhen you look at the chart in a log scale, it looks also very extraordinary, because whatâs useful about these kind of triangle patterns â I call them wedges â is that usually the size of the pole of the flag is repeated again. Now, if you did that using the log chart, it would take you to $1 million in this halving. Is that possible? Who the hell knows. I think it is. But it wouldnât match the stock-to-flow model which says it might spike to [$250,000] or something like that.â
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
Bitcoin Climbs Past $9.5K as Analysts Stress âDecouplingâ From Stocks
A fresh surge sees BTC/USD well on its way back to $10,000 as the impact of its weekend crash continues to dissipate.
Bitcoin (BTC) rose to reclaim $9,500 on May 14 as the recovery from last weekendâs $1,200 crash gained fresh momentum.
Bitcoinâs futures this week contrast it even further with traditional markets and macro assets.
This stock âdecoupling,â which Cointelegraph reported on previously, shows no signs of abating.Â
As Cointelegraph analyst Scott Melker wryly summarized on Twitter:
âRemember that day that stocks dumped and Bitcoin went up? That was today. And yesterday. Theyâre not correlated now, and they werenât correlated before. Thanks.â
For fellow analyst Michaël van de Poppe, paying too much attention to correlating markets in times of crisis and afterward was a dangerous game.
âWhen shit hits the fan (which was in March), all correlations tend to go towards 1,â he tweeted on Thursday:Â
âSince then, gold, silver & Bitcoin have been resilient for any downwards move and showing strength apart from the equity markets. Donât pin yourself on those correlations.â
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Show Notes / Resources:
When shit hits the van (which was in March), all correlations tend to go towards 1.
Sinc then, gold, silver & #Bitcoin have been resilient for any downwards move and showing strength apart from the equity markets.
Donât pin yourself on those correlations.$BTC
â Crypto MichaĂ«l (@CryptoMichNL) May 14, 2020
Remember that day that stocks dumped and Bitcoin went up? That was today. And yesterday. Theyâre not correlated now, and they werenât correlated before.
Thanks.
â The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) May 14, 2020
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-climbs-past-95k-as-analysts-stress-decoupling-from-stocks
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