BITCOIN CRASH 55% FROM IT’S ALL-TIME HIGH BUT $83,000 BTC PRICE NOW IN THE CARDS FOR MID-JUNE!!

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The crypto analyst who accurately predicted last years Bitcoin retracement has updated his roadmap of the BTC ascent to $100,000 as the king cryptocurrency approaches the apex of a long-term triangle.

Trader Dave the Wave tells his 33,000 Twitter followers that Bitcoin is poised for a big move as the top cryptocurrency shows signs of compression.

“Momentum and volatility flat-lining as price coils within the business end of the triangle. A picture of diminishing returns/ price discovery if there ever was one, and based on what price is actually doing, not what it ‘ought’ to do. Shaping up nicely for the move going forward.”

Based on Dave’s chart, Bitcoin is losing steam as seen on the slumping logarithmic moving average convergence and divergence (LMACD).

The indicator is designed to reveal changes in an asset’s trend, strength and momentum.

In addition, the king coin’s volatility looks ready to hit its all-time lows as the Bollinger bands width (BBW) indicator approaches a value of 0.50.

The low BBW reading suggests that BTC’s trading range is at its narrowest point in four years. Bitcoin’s tightening trading range and dying momentum suggest that a violent move is on the horizon as the dominant cryptocurrency approaches the end of a multi-year triangle.

Dave says that once volatility returns, he expects Bitcoin to go through a significant correction.

Once the pullback is over, Dave sees Bitcoin eventually breaking out of the long-term triangle.

He says Bitcoin will recover its all-time high of $20,000 next year before igniting a manic phase that would send the top cryptocurrency above $100,000 before 2022 expires.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

BITCOIN TO SOON CONFIRM BUY SIGNAL THAT PRECEDED 2017’S 2,000% RALLY

According to a crypto analyst, Bitcoin’s macro Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is about to cross green on the monthly time frame.

Should this take place, it will mark a large win for the bull case. For instance, prior to the rally from under $1,000 to $20,000 in late-2016/2017, BTC formed this signal.

And prior to the rally to $14,000 in 2019, this signal was formed.

The potential cross in the MACD isn’t the only signal that is supporting the long-term bull case.

This past Sunday, digital asset manager Charles Edwards noted that his indicator, the Hash Ribbons, printed a “buy” signal:

“Bitcoin Hash Ribbons “Buy” signal just confirmed. The post-Halving signal is particularly special.  It will probably be a very long time until the next occurs. …and so the great bull run begins.”

This is important as the signal has preceded parabolic rallies in the price of BTC.

Edwards found in an analysis published last year that the gain-to-peak of the indicator’s “buy” signals comes out to an average of 5,520%.

The fundamentals are equally as bullish, analysts have said.

As reported by Bitcoinist previously, Nexo’s Antoni Trenchev argued that Bitcoin is still poised to hit $50,000 by the end of 2020.

He attributed this strong sentiment to the presence of money printing by central banks and the block reward halving:

“So yes, I’m sticking to my prediction of 50K until the end of the year. I appreciate that it is a bold statement, but the fundamentals are there and the momentum is shifting there as well,”

Trenchev concluded to the Bloomberg journalist.

This optimism has been echoed by Adam Back, the chief executive of Blockstream.

The long-time industry executive and programmer told Bloomberg in a July interview that BTC will hit $300,000 in the next five years.

Like Trenchev, Back also mentioned money printing, but added that bonds and real estate likely have low risk-return ratios.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

Momentum and volatility flat-lining as price coils within the business end of the triangle. A picture of diminishing returns/ price discovery if there ever was one, and based on what price is actually doing, not what it ‘ought’ to do.

Shaping up nicely for the move going forward pic.twitter.com/prrdi576XD

— dave the wave (@davthewave) July 15, 2020

https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-confirm-buy-signal-preceded-2017/

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The underlying reason for Bitcoin (BTC) hitting $28,000 by November 1, 2020, is based on historical data and not just an analyst’s prediction.

Bitcoin’s volatility is a well-known aspect of the asset and the fact that this aspect is high is what’s preventing it from becoming an everyday unit of exchange/account or in simple terms – money.

Arguing the soundness of Bitcoin is for another day, however, what’s important is this historical data that suggests an average BTC return of 196% after a certain condition has been met.

According to Kraken’s August volatility report, there are “suppressed pockets” which represent bitcoin volatility slump between 15% to 30%.

To date, bitcoin has only every hit these pockets 12 times, and every time bitcoin slides into these pockets, it reverses to the mean, which happens to be a 315-day moving average.

In other words, after sliding into these pockets, volatility has seen an average surge of 140%.

What’s interesting is the price implication of this volatility suppression and eventual expansion.

It was observed that the price saw an average surge of 196% over the next 90 days.

On two separate occasions – 2014 and 2018, the returns were -60% and -45%., hence, there is an 83% chance of price surging 196%.

Considering the last dip in the pocket was July 24, 2020, and the surge as of writing was only 4.36%, there is a lot of upside for Bitcoin.

196% surge from July 24, over the next 90 days should put bitcoin between the $28,000 and $30,000 range and on October 22, 2020.

This would mean the Bitcoin price has to surge a 4.2% surge every day to hit the target of ~$30,000.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

PlanB: $700,000,000 Investment in Bitcoin Industry Shows New Phase of BTC’s Financial Takeover Underway

Recent Bitcoin developments have convinced popular analyst PlanB that Bitcoin is entering a new phase of adoption.

The anonymous trader and creator of the stock-to-flow Bitcoin model points to a Reuters report that Kazakhstan has been in talks to attract more than $700 million worth of investments into the cryptocurrency sector.

The oil-reliant central Asian country offers BTC miners cheap electricity rates and reportedly accounts for more than 6% of the total Bitcoin hashrate across the globe, according to a report published in the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance.

PlanB also points to last month’s news that MicroStrategy, the largest publicly-traded business intelligence company, had used $250 million of its balance sheet capital to buy Bitcoin.

“This is a game changer: Nasdaq-listed company with $250M Bitcoin (25% of assets, 15% of market cap) is basically a Bitcoin ETF! Shareholders have 15% BTC exposure and 85% tech. No capital charges (like banks & pension funds), no SEC approval needed (like ETF).”

PlanB recently told cryptocurrency podcaster Peter McCormack that he actually made a conservative bet when he predicted that BTC will hit $288,000.

Instead, he says it could meteorically rise to $864,000 in four years.

“I’m on $288,000 as an average value. $100,000 would be very nice, too. But if you just follow the math, if you just follow the data, and I don’t mean the time-series model. So we’re not looking at Bitcoin only. We’re looking at gold, silver, diamonds, real estate, all that stuff.

It’s $288,000. That’s an average value. It could overshoot, like three times, like it did the last phases. I don’t want to mention the number. I try to be conservative all the time. But let’s say a 2x or a 3x from that $288,000, and then it crashes again, of course.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

💥💥💥This is a game changer: Nasdaq listed company with $250M bitcoin (25% of assets, 15% of market cap) is basically a bitcoin ETF!Shareholders have 15% BTC exposure and 85% tech. No capital charges (like banks & pension funds), no SEC approval needed (like ETF)

So it begins https://t.co/UepeYeOqbI

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) August 27, 2020

#phase5https://t.co/03h07lkiiU

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) September 5, 2020

Futures bounce back significantly in the U.S. Europe also bouncing back up.

Might signal a slight relief on $BTC as well towards the area of $10,600-10,800.

— Crypto Michaël (@CryptoMichNL) September 9, 2020

Why Bitcoin should technically hit $28K before November 1?

https://dailyhodl.com/2020/09/08/planb-700000000-investment-in-bitcoin-industry-shows-new-phase-of-btcs-financial-takeover-underway/

https://cointelegraph.com/news/stocks-may-push-bitcoin-to-108k-says-trader-as-usd-bull-run-falters