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Bitcoin could nail the now-popular $98,000 BTC price target – but it could end up being the cycle top, new research argues.
In its “October 2021 Market Recap & Outlook,” major United States exchange Kraken said that Bitcoin should reach around $96,000 if this quarter copies the last bull run.
“At the current pace, 4Q is trending most similarly to 4Q2017 with a correlation of 0.88. It should be noted that 4Q2017 went on to become Bitcoin’s third best 4Q on record with a return of +220%,” Kraken wrote.
“Assuming BTC continues to follow in the footsteps of 4Q2017, we could expect BTC to rally even higher into month end. For some context, a +220% in 4Q2021 would imply a price of $96,355 for BTC.”
In other trending Bitcoin News today: Apple CEO Tim Cook confirms owning both Bitcoin and Ethereum and says…
“It’s reasonable to own it as a part of a diversified portfolio. I been interested in it for a while, I been researching it and so forth and so I think it’s interesting.”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
Show Notes / Resources:
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-briefly-hits-69k-ath-before-plummeting-back-to-earth
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BITCOIN PARABOLIC BULL RUN TO ,000+ WILL BEGIN VERY SHORTLY | 0K BTC Predictions Way Off Base?
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Since Bitcoin (BTC) traders got a taste of parabolic price action in early-2019, during which the Bitcoin price surged from the low-$3,000s to $14,000 in a few weeks’ time, they have been craving more and more and more.
The cryptocurrency’s ability to surge by hundreds of percent in a few months’ time – gains absolutely astronomical when compared to that of stocks, precious metals, and other traditional asset classes – was something many fell in love with.
Fortunately for these investors, a prominent analyst recently suggested that should this key indicator prove to be accurate yet again, the BTC price is on the verge of starting yet another parabolic rally.
While the jury is still out on where exactly the next bull run will take BTC, the consensus is a fresh all-time high of at least $50,000, proven by a crazy accurate price model made by an institutional quantitative analyst and shilled by a bonafide German bank.
According to prominent trader Bitcoin Jack, former head analyst at trading group Bravado, Bitcoin is showing signs that 2020 will “cement the foundation for the next parabolic run.”
As to why this is the case, the analyst looked to BTC’s one-week Ichimoku Cloud, which should show what long-term trends are forming and what key price points there are to watch out for.
The start of the two previous macro bull trends in 2012 and 2016 saw the indicator print a “thin red cloud,” which some would classically define as bearish but turned out to be extremely bullish for Bitcoin. In fact, in 2012, BTC immediately began to rally higher once the thin red cloud was reached, and Bitcoin rallied by nearly 100% in the five weeks after the thin red cloud was reached in 2016.
Top Cryptocurrency Analysts Say $100,000 Bitcoin Predictions Way Off Base – Here’s Where They Think BTC Will Land
Two leading Crypto analysts say they believe Bitcoin is in a new bull market cycle, but predictions that BTC is poised to soar to $100,000 are far too bullish.
In a recent episode of Trading Bitcoin, Tone Vays and the pseudonymous trader Filbfilb debate the current state of the crypto market and where it may head in the months to come.
Says Filbfilb,
“I think we’re going to struggle to get past $60k. I think $60k is going to be a really, really troublesome level to get across. I’ll certainly be looking to book in some serious profits at that point. I think you said it right in Fiji. I think you said the return you get off of these long-term positions versus the risk of you getting it wrong is a terrible trade. So trying to go higher than $60k I think would be a little bit foolish at this point. But certainly around $50k, $60k would be sensible.”
Vays says he’s looking for BTC to top out at a slightly lower price of around $45,000.
Although the traders say hype around Bitcoin’s halving is fueling price action in early 2020, they say rising trading volumes and an increasing number of outstanding derivative contracts are key metrics to watch in order to gauge real long-term interest in the space.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
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I think we will be above 14K by July
— //Bitcoin 𝕵ack (@BTC_JackSparrow) February 21, 2020
The model appears to model the bubbles ánd bear markets fairly well. It confirms a certain inertia of price reaction, so a lag ánd overshoot. Model would predict: Price will catch up with S2F ratio a year after the halving. And overshoot by ~ 2x. (3/3) h/t Tom! pic.twitter.com/kWecmWgH5e
— GeertJancap (@Geertjancap) January 15, 2020
https://bitcoinexchangeguide.com/heres-how-bitcoin-could-see-a-4826-increase-in-value/
https://www.newsbtc.com/2020/02/21/crucial-indicator-bitcoin-parabolic-bull-run-50000-begins-2020/
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BLOOMBERG FORECAST: Bitcoin Set for Massive Bull Run!! 0K+ BTC Price On the Horizon!!
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Bloomberg just released its latest Bitcoin (BTC) outlook on the crypto markets.
Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone says Bitcoin’s adoption among mainstream investors is on the rise.
He expects an advantageous macroeconomic landscape to sustain a Bitcoin bull run that will “dust” the Nasdaq.
“Increasing adoption and vehicles for exposure, and custody, are accelerating Bitcoin into the mainstream of investments. In a world of zero and negative interest rates and diminishing equity-price returns due to quantitative easing, the quasi currency stores of value – gold and Bitcoin – are finding increasing investor interest…
Bitcoin $10,000 Breach Set to Dust Nasdaq – Fundamentally bullish and breaking above key $10,000 resistance, Bitcoin has a solid foundation on the back of a steep correction and period of disdain, in our view.”
McGlone adds that Bitcoin’s growing fundamentals suggest BTC is solidifying its position as digital gold.
He says the leading crypto is no longer the highly speculative and unknown asset it once was, with the Bollinger Bands momentum indicator suggesting a burst to $13,000 is imminent.
In contrast, the Bloomberg Intelligence analyst says Ethereum’s hot streak is likely fueled by pure speculation as opposed to BTC’s fundamentally-driven growth.
“Ethereum has extended last year’s highs and leaped to one of the top-performing major crypto assets in 2020, but we view its rally as more speculative vs. the favorable demand vs. supply conditions supporting Bitcoin.”
McGlone says Ethereum is facing heavy competition from protocols that offer the same use case, as a total of 6,000 crypto assets of all sorts flood the markets.
He believes Bitcoin’s scarcity is the key factor driving its value and points to a two-year comparison of BTC’s performance compared to Ethereum, XRP and the altcoin market at large as a sign that BTC is the better long-term play.
Bitcoin is up 54% over the last two years, while Ethereum is down 4.5% and XRP is down 30%.
“It’s the unlimited supply of the broad crypto market vs. the relative scarcity of Bitcoin that will maintain buoyancy in the benchmark asset, in our view. About 90% of the 21 million available Bitcoins have been produced, leaving demand and adoption as the primary price-outlook gauges. Our indicators point positive for Bitcoin, while the basic rules of supply and demand leave little hope of broad-market price advancement.”
In June, McGlone made the case for why BTC may return to its all-time high of $20,000 this year.
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
Pantera’s Founder Foresees $100K+ Bitcoin On the Horizon
Dan Morehead is more conservative in his Bitcoin price predictions than his firm Pantera Capital, though both agree that it will hit $100,000.
Pantera Capital is the oldest Bitcoin investment firm in the United States.
When the company’s founder, Dan Morehead, was asked to make a Bitcoin price prediction during a recent interview, he first mentioned an investment letter published by the firm.
In this letter, based on the stock-to-flow model, the firm made the bold prediction that Bitcoin will hit $115,000 by August 2021.
Morehead thinks this is still possible, despite the fact that in just one year, the asset’s price would have to increase to nearly 10 times its current value.
Yet, his personal prediction is a little more modest, he said:
“My common response is it’s been growing at 209% for nine years, I think it’s going to grow at least 209% over the next couple years and that puts you at $100 000, probably in two years; but I do think that will happen.”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
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In fact, only one asset has offset the growth of the G4 balance sheet. Its not stocks, not bonds, not commodities, not credit, not precious metals, not miners. Only one asset massively outperformed over almost any time horizon.
Yup. #Bitcoin $BTC pic.twitter.com/wdoN6Qgaaz
— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) August 6, 2020
When bitcoin was $4k in 2019, lot of big accounts were bearish, predicting $1k. However in DM mant said that if btc would rise to $6k, they would reconsider and switch to bull. That actually happened, we shot through $6k. Now many were bearish at $9k .. $13.5k will be interesting pic.twitter.com/6D5lArCC6c
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) August 5, 2020
https://cointelegraph.com/news/panteras-founder-foresees-100k-bitcoin-on-the-horizon
https://cointelegraph.com/news/raoul-pal-it-may-not-be-worth-owning-any-asset-other-than-bitcoin
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MAX KEISER SAYS BITCOIN COULD RISE 300X AS BTC SETS ITS SIGHTS ON THE DOMINANCE OF THE US DOLLAR!!
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Crypto evangelist Max Keiser says Bitcoin (BTC) could increase 300x as it sets its sights on the dominance of the US dollar.
On a new episode of RT’s Keiser Report, the Bitcoin bull shares a Morgan Stanley report with his 4.17 million YouTube subscribers that says the flagship cryptocurrency will remain an asset class and is a viable alternative to gold as a store of value and the US dollar as a means of exchange.
“Do you accept fiat money where the volatility is zero, but the loss of purchasing power is guaranteed? Or would you prefer Bitcoin, where there is volatility but the gain in purchasing is guaranteed? Those are your two options.”
Keiser adds that the king coin is close to dominating the precious metals market. He forecasts that BTC will overtake silver within a few months and get halfway to gold’s market capitalization in 2021.
“Once it gets past gold, only the dollar is left and the thing about Bitcoin is that it is the apex predator. It is the shark in an ocean full of goldfish and or plankton, which is the US dollar.
They print a lot of dollars but they’re not particularly robust and they are going to be decimated as Bitcoin dominates and becomes the global world reserve currency as we predicted. Morgan Stanley now is finally waking up to this.”
Keiser points out that as Bitcoin displaces gold and the US dollar, the value of the leading cryptocurrency will rise meteorically.
“I guess it’s going a lot higher because it has to replace gold. It has to replace the US dollar. The total addressable market (TAM) for Bitcoin is $300 trillion. It’s now at $1 trillion. It’s got a 300x path to go from here. Own it or have fun staying poor.”
In other trending Bitcoin News today:
En Route to $200K? Bitcoin Closed February 26% Above Stock-to-Flow Model Price
The bitcoin price is outpacing the popular Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, which predicts that the BTC price would eventually reach $200,000.
The S2F model forecasts the long-term price trend of Bitcoin by taking two main factors into account, namely the amount of BTC in existence (the stock) against the amount of newly mined coins entering the market (the flow).
According to the the S2F multiple, the price of Bitcoin should be hovering at around $36,851 in order for the S2F model to be on track.
Due to the recent bull cycle and Bitcoin’s strong momentum, BTC/USD is now well above the S2F estimate at around $49,000.
Saifdean Ammous, the renowned author of The Bitcoin Standard, emphasized that Bitcoin rarely diverged from the S2F model since it was created well over two years ago.
As Cointelegraph previously reported, S2F creator PlanB said that he has no doubt the price of Bitcoin would reach $100,000 by December 2021, based on the model.
In mid-2020, PlanB said Bitcoin could tap anywhere between $100,000 to $288,000 by December of next year. He said:
“People ask if I still believe in my model. To be clear: I have no doubt whatsoever that bitcoin S2FX is correct and bitcoin will tap $100K-288K before Dec2021. In fact I have new data that confirms the supply shortage is real. IMO 2021 will be spectacular. Not financial advice!”
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
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Bitcoin Analyst Sees “Aggressive” Bull Run Towards $64,000; Here’s Why
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