BITCOIN SENTIMENT COMPARABLE TO A FUNERAL!! ETHEREUM PRIMED FOR MONSTER RALLY VS BTC!!

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The underlying reason for Bitcoin (BTC) hitting $28,000 by November 1, 2020, is based on historical data and not just an analyst’s prediction.

Bitcoin’s volatility is a well-known aspect of the asset and the fact that this aspect is high is what’s preventing it from becoming an everyday unit of exchange/account or in simple terms – money.

Arguing the soundness of Bitcoin is for another day, however, what’s important is this historical data that suggests an average BTC return of 196% after a certain condition has been met.

According to Kraken’s August volatility report, there are “suppressed pockets” which represent bitcoin volatility slump between 15% to 30%.

To date, bitcoin has only every hit these pockets 12 times, and every time bitcoin slides into these pockets, it reverses to the mean, which happens to be a 315-day moving average.

In other words, after sliding into these pockets, volatility has seen an average surge of 140%.

What’s interesting is the price implication of this volatility suppression and eventual expansion.

It was observed that the price saw an average surge of 196% over the next 90 days.

On two separate occasions – 2014 and 2018, the returns were -60% and -45%., hence, there is an 83% chance of price surging 196%.

Considering the last dip in the pocket was July 24, 2020, and the surge as of writing was only 4.36%, there is a lot of upside for Bitcoin.

196% surge from July 24, over the next 90 days should put bitcoin between the $28,000 and $30,000 range and on October 22, 2020.

This would mean the Bitcoin price has to surge a 4.2% surge every day to hit the target of ~$30,000.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

PlanB: $700,000,000 Investment in Bitcoin Industry Shows New Phase of BTC’s Financial Takeover Underway

Recent Bitcoin developments have convinced popular analyst PlanB that Bitcoin is entering a new phase of adoption.

The anonymous trader and creator of the stock-to-flow Bitcoin model points to a Reuters report that Kazakhstan has been in talks to attract more than $700 million worth of investments into the cryptocurrency sector.

The oil-reliant central Asian country offers BTC miners cheap electricity rates and reportedly accounts for more than 6% of the total Bitcoin hashrate across the globe, according to a report published in the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance.

PlanB also points to last month’s news that MicroStrategy, the largest publicly-traded business intelligence company, had used $250 million of its balance sheet capital to buy Bitcoin.

“This is a game changer: Nasdaq-listed company with $250M Bitcoin (25% of assets, 15% of market cap) is basically a Bitcoin ETF! Shareholders have 15% BTC exposure and 85% tech. No capital charges (like banks & pension funds), no SEC approval needed (like ETF).”

PlanB recently told cryptocurrency podcaster Peter McCormack that he actually made a conservative bet when he predicted that BTC will hit $288,000.

Instead, he says it could meteorically rise to $864,000 in four years.

“I’m on $288,000 as an average value. $100,000 would be very nice, too. But if you just follow the math, if you just follow the data, and I don’t mean the time-series model. So we’re not looking at Bitcoin only. We’re looking at gold, silver, diamonds, real estate, all that stuff.

It’s $288,000. That’s an average value. It could overshoot, like three times, like it did the last phases. I don’t want to mention the number. I try to be conservative all the time. But let’s say a 2x or a 3x from that $288,000, and then it crashes again, of course.”

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

💥💥💥This is a game changer: Nasdaq listed company with $250M bitcoin (25% of assets, 15% of market cap) is basically a bitcoin ETF!Shareholders have 15% BTC exposure and 85% tech. No capital charges (like banks & pension funds), no SEC approval needed (like ETF)

So it begins https://t.co/UepeYeOqbI

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) August 27, 2020

#phase5https://t.co/03h07lkiiU

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) September 5, 2020

Futures bounce back significantly in the U.S. Europe also bouncing back up.

Might signal a slight relief on $BTC as well towards the area of $10,600-10,800.

— Crypto Michaël (@CryptoMichNL) September 9, 2020

Why Bitcoin should technically hit $28K before November 1?

https://dailyhodl.com/2020/09/08/planb-700000000-investment-in-bitcoin-industry-shows-new-phase-of-btcs-financial-takeover-underway/

https://cointelegraph.com/news/stocks-may-push-bitcoin-to-108k-says-trader-as-usd-bull-run-falters

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Jack Dorsey, Twitter CEO and founder of payments operator Square, has revealed that Twitter is funding a dedicated team to develop a decentralized standard for social media.

In a series of tweets on Dec. 11th, Dorsey set forth a number of challenges social media networks face in their operations.

These include the shift away from content hosting and removal to recommendation algorithms directing users’ attention, and content that sparks controversy and outrage rather than healthy and informative conversations.

In other Crypto news today:

The Bitcoin price is headed to 7-month low if $7,000 support fails. For the past few days, the BTC price has ranged between $7,400 to $7,100 and it seems bears are keen to push the Bitcoin (BTC) price back below $7,000 before this week closes.

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

Twitter is funding a small independent team of up to five open source architects, engineers, and designers to develop an open and decentralized standard for social media. The goal is for Twitter to ultimately be a client of this standard. 🧵

— jack 🌍🌏🌎 (@jack) December 11, 2019

https://cointelegraph.com/news/why-bitcoin-price-is-headed-to-7-month-low-if-7k-support-fails

https://cointelegraph.com/news/jack-dorsey-twitter-developing-decentralized-standard-for-social-media

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Bitcoin (BTC) hitting a $1 trillion market cap by 2025 is “conservative,” and those levels should hit in less than two years.

That was according to Blockstream CEO Adam Back, who delivered a fresh bullish Bitcoin price outlook on Monday.

Back was responding to a report by Yassine Elmandjra, a crypto-asset analyst at investment advisor Ark, who in September forecast a BTC market cap of $1 trillion to $5 trillion by 2030 at the latest.

Ark is well known for its enthusiastic price forecasts for Tesla stock, which saw an almost unbelievable rise in 2020.

“Conservative. I’d say bitcoin likely sees $1 trillion market cap within 2 years, probably sooner. $1 trillion is about BTC $50k,” he said.

As of October, Bitcoin’s market cap is just over $198 billion.

For Back’s prognosis to come true, the market would need to see a 400% increase by 2022.

For reference, at the start of October two years ago in 2018, the figure stood at $114 billion.

BTC/USD traded at $6,600, two months before the pit of its bear market which bottomed out at $3,100.

Further responses to Ark included on-chain data resource Ecoinometrics, which highlighted a $2 trillion Bitcoin market cap as equal to that of Apple.

BTC/USD would trade at $100,000 under such circumstances, while to equal gold, the pair would need to reach $500,000.

BTC price activity is currently much more subdued, with analysts expecting more sideways action to characterize the remainder of the year. 

At the same time, anticipation is building over BTC/USD abandoning its correlation to traditional macro assets and rising in line with historical behavior — specifically centered on predictions from the stock-to-flow price forecasting models. 

Stock-to-flow calls for an average price of $288,000 during the current halving cycle, which began in May and will last until 2024.

Adam Back: Crisis Will Push BTC to $300K Even Without Institutions

The Bitcoin pioneer says that unlimited money printing will drive retail investors toward BTC and push the price to $300,000 within five years.

In an interview with Bloomberg — in which he once again denied he was Bitcoin (BTC) creator Satoshi Nakamoto — Back outlined his thinking behind the sky-high price prediction.

The cypherpunk OG — who was cited in the Bitcoin white paper — added that BTC may not need the long-awaited flood of institutional money to push it into a bull run.

“It might not require additional institutional adoption because the current environment is causing more individuals to think about hedging,” Back said.

“And retaining value when there’s a lot of money printing in the world.”

In January, Back responded to reports that had unearthed early Bitcoin dev Hal Finney’s wild speculation that Bitcoin may be worth $10 million one day.

Back said that it was entirely possible that high inflation could make $1 worth $0.10 over a decade or so, which would mean: “$10mil/BTC is $1mil/BTC in today’s money.”

“And $100K Bitcoin doesn’t seem so far given we already crossed $10k threshold a few times when few expected even $1k some years back and $10k seemed crazy.”

With that in mind, it’s possible that Back expects a $300,000 BTC price in five years’ time to be more achievable, as it would be worth considerably less in today’s money due to inflation.

In other trending Bitcoin News today:

Bitcoin and Ethereum Bull Raoul Pal Details How to Spot the Next 100x Investment

The Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is sharing his blueprint for how to spot the next investment with 100x potential.

In an interview with Chris Dark, the host of Dr Dark after Dark, Pal says you don’t have to venture far to find that life-changing bet.

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Trezor: ► http://trezor.cryptonewsalerts.net

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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.

Show Notes / Resources:

Bitcoin 30 day historic volatility has been falling fast and is in the 20’s. In the past it has hit 20% vol 7 times. 6 times prices exploded higher immediately and vol hit 80% in a few months. 1 time (Nov 2018) prices fell sharply. Either way, a big move is coming soon. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/9qKdLcAf0V

— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) October 7, 2020

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-pioneer-predicts-1t-btc-market-cap-by-2022-or-sooner

https://cointelegraph.com/news/adam-back-crisis-will-push-btc-to-300k-even-without-institutions