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PlanB, the widely-followed anonymous cryptocurrency analyst who first applied the stock-to-flow ratio to the Bitcoin price says, “The model is not built to last forever.”
The model, which tracks the circulating supply of an asset against the amount of new supply hitting the market has proved remarkably accurate for tracking Bitcoin’s past price action.
Using the model, the outlook from PlanB indicates the BTC price could hit $100,000 sometime around the year 2021 and break $1 million around 2025.
But in a new series of tweets, PlanB says he’ll be happy if the model maintains accuracy for the next two to three more halvings, which is the equivalent of about 4.5 to 8.5 years.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
News Resources From Today’s Show:
Bitcoin YTD Performance Exceeds 140%, Outperforms Most Traditional Assets
This is becoming scary: using Oct instead of Dec data, Stock-to-Flow model fit improves to 99.5% R2! Model error was mainly caused by Nov2013 and Dec2017 ATH, so sampling without ATH gives less noise. Predicted #bitcoin prices increase: $100K (2020+), $1M (2024+), $10M (2028+)… pic.twitter.com/1WX6LOVxZW
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) July 14, 2019
I normally don’t deploy statistical models 120+ years out into the future. I would be happy if the model holds for 1 or 2 or maybe 3 more halvings. Especially since BTC is measured in $ .. who knows what happens with $ if the FED keeps doing more QE (money printing).
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) October 31, 2019
Coins in Jan 2019 vs Nov 2019 $BTC = $3.7k –> $9.2k$ETH = $133 –> $185$LTC = $31 –> $58$XRP = .34c –> .29c$BNB = $5 –> $20 $LINK = .30 –> $2.68$EOS = $2.56 –> $3.31$BSV = $89 –> $132$BCH = $154 –> $294
MCap has 2x’d in USD & $XRP still ended up in the red.
👀— CryptoThies (@KingThies) November 3, 2019
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Bitcoin Price Fluctuations and Cryptocurrency Market Overview: August 4-7, 2024
This week, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced notable price fluctuations. Starting at approximately $53,991 on August 4, Bitcoin saw a dip to around $49,121 on August 5. However, it rebounded to $57,604 by August 7. This volatility reflects ongoing market dynamics and investor sentiment.
Several factors contributed to these price movements. The anticipation of regulatory developments and macroeconomic conditions played significant roles. Investors are closely watching potential policy changes that could impact the broader cryptocurrency market. Additionally, Bitcoin’s resilience and growing institutional interest continue to bolster its prospects. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin could soon challenge its previous all-time highs, given the current momentum and positive market sentiment.
In the broader cryptocurrency market, Ethereum (ETH) faced a slight downturn. Despite the launch of nine spot Ethereum ETFs in July, ETH prices dropped by 3.4% to close at $3,272. This decline indicates that investors might be taking profits after the initial excitement surrounding the ETFs.
Among other major cryptocurrencies, XRP (XRP) emerged as a strong performer, gaining 26.9% in July. Conversely, Toncoin (TON) struggled, though it remains up 21.5% over the past three months. The total market capitalization of the global cryptocurrency market stands at approximately $2.4 trillion, recovering from the lows of the 2022 crypto winter.
As the market continues to evolve, investors remain cautiously optimistic. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new heights and the ongoing developments in the cryptocurrency space suggest an exciting period ahead for digital assets.
