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PlanB, the widely-followed anonymous cryptocurrency analyst who first applied the stock-to-flow ratio to the Bitcoin price says, “The model is not built to last forever.”
The model, which tracks the circulating supply of an asset against the amount of new supply hitting the market has proved remarkably accurate for tracking Bitcoin’s past price action.
Using the model, the outlook from PlanB indicates the BTC price could hit $100,000 sometime around the year 2021 and break $1 million around 2025.
But in a new series of tweets, PlanB says he’ll be happy if the model maintains accuracy for the next two to three more halvings, which is the equivalent of about 4.5 to 8.5 years.
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DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial advice. The views and opinions expressed in this video are just opinions, nothing more. Trading is very risky, especially when trading with leverage. Seek financial advice from a professional and trade at your own risk because I am not responsible for any investment decisions that you choose to make.
News Resources From Today’s Show:
Bitcoin YTD Performance Exceeds 140%, Outperforms Most Traditional Assets
This is becoming scary: using Oct instead of Dec data, Stock-to-Flow model fit improves to 99.5% R2! Model error was mainly caused by Nov2013 and Dec2017 ATH, so sampling without ATH gives less noise. Predicted #bitcoin prices increase: $100K (2020+), $1M (2024+), $10M (2028+)… pic.twitter.com/1WX6LOVxZW
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) July 14, 2019
I normally don’t deploy statistical models 120+ years out into the future. I would be happy if the model holds for 1 or 2 or maybe 3 more halvings. Especially since BTC is measured in $ .. who knows what happens with $ if the FED keeps doing more QE (money printing).
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) October 31, 2019
Coins in Jan 2019 vs Nov 2019 $BTC = $3.7k –> $9.2k$ETH = $133 –> $185$LTC = $31 –> $58$XRP = .34c –> .29c$BNB = $5 –> $20 $LINK = .30 –> $2.68$EOS = $2.56 –> $3.31$BSV = $89 –> $132$BCH = $154 –> $294
MCap has 2x’d in USD & $XRP still ended up in the red.
👀— CryptoThies (@KingThies) November 3, 2019